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5 Final Thoughts Ahead of Chargers-Broncos in Week 16

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The Chargers and Broncos are set for an AFC West showdown on Thursday Night Football in Week 16.

Here are five final thoughts ahead of Week 16:

1. The biggest game of the year

They don't get more important than this.

As the Bolts get ready for Thursday night's matchup with the Broncos, Chargers Head Coach Jim Harbaugh summed up the urgency surrounding his team.

"At its highest," Harbaugh said.

Entering Week 16, both the Chargers and Broncos reside in Wild Card playoff spots in the AFC.

And while Denver (9-5) can clinch a playoff spot with a win Thursday, the Bolts (8-6) cannot.

However, a Chargers win plus losses Sunday by the Dolphins and Colts would secure a playoff berth. The Bolts can also clinch a spot with a tie plus losses by Miami, Indianapolis and Cincinnati.

If the Chargers win two of their final three games, they are also in the dance.

"We know where we are, we know where we stand as a team," Derwin James, Jr. said. "We control our own destiny.

"This Thursday, everything we want is right in front of us and it starts ... with a divisional [opponent] coming in here," James added. "We got to get a win."

Khalil Mack added: "I expect it to be a playoff atmosphere, especially on our end. Just understanding what we want to do and what we want to accomplish as a team, it's a lot riding on this game. That's the energy you have to bring to it."

Of course, there's also the storyline of how the Chargers respond from their worst game of the season in Week 15 against Tampa Bay.

How will the Bolts respond, especially on a short week?

"Throwing everything we have at it," Harbaugh said. "The energy, the competitive greatness, talent, effort, everything. Everything we have."

James added: "[We're] hungry. It's a sense of urgency on everybody's face. Nobody is panicking, nobody is pointing fingers."

The Chargers have played 14 games so far. Game No. 15 is the biggest one to date.

"These are the opportunities you want," Justin Herbert said. "You want to be playing games like that in December and January."

2. Can the defense respond?

The Chargers defense has been anywhere from solid to exceptional this season.

But everyone associated with the unit knows Sunday's outing against the Buccaneers wasn't good enough.

"Anytime you don't play well, it's a concern," Chargers Defensive Coordinator Jesse Minter said. "You play a game in the National Football League and give up 40 points and 500 yards, high level of concern."

While many will be watching to see how the Chargers as a team perform after a lopsided loss, all eyes will be specifically be on the defense's answer on Thursday.

Minter said this week that there's no time to panic on a short week. Instead, he's relying on techniques and fundamentals to try and help get the unit back on track.

"I think you look to your foundation and what you built over time and hope that your foundation allows you to rebound from a game like that," Minter said. "It can only be a one off if you let it be a one off, in terms of how we play. Particularly in the second half, everything kind of got away from us.

"We've had some ups and downs, we've had good stretches, we've had some rough stretches," Minter continued. "The second half was as rough of a stretch that we've had.

"You hope that you have a strong enough foundation, that you've done enough things together, that you can look at each other, fix your problems, trust each other and move on to the next one," Minter added.

Entering Week 16, the Chargers are eighth in defensive EPA per play and rank ninth in defensive DVOA.

Check out the best photos from practice during Week 16 as the Bolts gear up for Thursday matchup. Stay updated with the latest injury report as the team strategizes for the week ahead. Don't miss out—secure your tickets now to experience the action live at SoFi Stadium!

3. A look at Bo Nix

The last time the Chargers and Broncos play, Denver's Bo Nix was a rookie quarterback trying to find his way in Week 6.

The 2024 first-round pick is now in the conversation for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award as Nix's strong play has Denver on the cusp of a playoff spot.

"I think I said this the first time we played him — even then early in the year — he didn't feel like a rookie, played a ton of football," Minter said. "Sean Payton's done a fantastic job with him, just doing things that he does really well. He's gotten better and better."

Nix has thrown for 2,971 yards with 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. But he is also a threat to run, an element the Bolts saw in October when he ran for 61 yards on just six carries.

Nix has ran for 327 yards and four scores on the season.

"Bo Nix continues to be a really good, it's almost athletically buying time," Harbaugh said. "He's in the same ballpark as Patrick [Mahomes] is."

Mack added: "He does a lot of things, he does a lot of moving around. It's up to us to contain him and get him to the ground."

If the Chargers want to win Thursday night, they need to keep Nix under wraps as much as possible.

"That's really kind of what you see from him — a really good competitor, savvy, moxie, scrambler, throw on the run, playmaker type mentality, little bit of a gunslinger mentality that wants the ball in his hands," Minter said. "Tons of respect for him and their coaches and players."

4. Bolts wary of Denver's defense

The Chargers defense is currently tied for the league lead in points allowed per game at 17.6 with two other teams.

One of them is the Eagles. The other? The Broncos, who will be in town Thursday night.

Oh yeah, Denver also leads the NFL in total sacks with 49.0.

"We got to play a complete game and we got to be ready to move things around a little bit as the game goes on and handle that," Chargers Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman said. "Coaches, players, everybody is really chasing that. We need to put it together against this Denver team. This defense is outstanding."

Denver has also forced 23 turnovers, good for the sixth-best mark in the league.

"It's being smart with the ball," Herbert said. "Understanding they've done a great job of getting after the passer and they've forced a lot of turnovers.

"That's up to us to be smart with the ball and to understand that throwaways are better than sacks and turnovers," Herbert added.

Denver's pass rush is led by Nik Bonitto, who has 11.5 sacks. Jonathon Cooper (8.0 sacks), John Franklin-Meyers (5.5) and Zach Allen (5.0) also bring the heat as well.

"Really effective, really great. The edge pressure has been phenomenal," Harbaugh said. "Vance Joseph has done a great job with the defense. Scoring defense, pressure, sacks, takeaways, they've got it all there. They're an elite defense."

That doesn't include Patrick Surtain II, who ranks first Pro Football Focus' defense (85.9), coverage (88.3) and tackling (89.9) grades among cornerbacks with at least 400 snaps on the season.

The Chargers are looking to put together a more consistent game than what they've shown the past few weeks.

The Bolts scored 17 points on their first three possession Sunday but were shut out the rest of the way.

5. A spark on special teams?

In a game like this, perhaps a play here or there on special teams will be the difference.

That means bottling up Denver return man Marvin Mims, Jr., who was just named the AFC Special Teams Player of the Week.

Mims had 97 punt return yards on just three attempts Sunday, including a 61-yarder that helped swing the outcome for the Broncos over the Colts.

Mims leads the NFL in punt return yards (408) this season and has added six kickoff returns for 167 yards. Mims also has 287 receiving yards.

The Chargers will counter with Derius Davis, who will look to get going after the Bolts return game was mostly stymied against Tampa Bay.

Davis ranks fifth in the NFL with a 13.6 punt return average and is sixth in kickoff return average (28.2) among players with at least 10 kickoff returns.

In the kicking game, Cameron Dicker has made 29 of 31 field goals (93.5 percent) while Wil Lutz has made 27 of 30 tries (90 percent).

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